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Dual-transformation automotive industry needs top-level design

December 23, 2022

The world’s auto industry has opened the curtain of the transformation of automotive DNA with the theme of energy, environmental protection, safety, and intelligence. The automotive industry in China is confronted with unprecedented complex contradictions in the dual transformation of automotive DNA and development stages. It needs top-level design to determine its direction.

The top-level design is different in different countries. For example, the automobile legal system in the United States is the top-level design at the national level. Some people say that China's automobile industry policy is the country's top-level design. However, from the perspective of the two industrial policies that have been implemented in China for more than 10 years, they all have their historical limitations. Their substantive goals are to increase industrial concentration and avoid scattered, chaotic, and low-level redundant construction. This is achieving a double transformation. This is only a partial, and these issues have not yet been completely resolved. It is reported that the new automobile industry policy is being revised and it is hoped that high-level housing will be built to resolve the contradiction between the recent and long-term.

The author believes that in the context of double transformation, the development of the top-level design of the Chinese automobile industry needs to cover four areas.

First, road traffic safety

Relative to pollution, China’s grim road safety injuries are often ignored by the government, the media, and the public. The World Health Organization's 2013 Global Road Safety Report released by the World Health Organization ranks the number of road traffic deaths in China as the number one in the world. Reducing the harm caused by road traffic injuries requires regulation, roads, automobiles, education, and even emergency and rehabilitation. At present, about 60,000 people are killed every year in the country under the wheels. On average, one person loses every one minute because of the car. Although the society has paid great attention to the victims and the injured, it needs the whole society to change this. A harsh reality. Many national governments have formulated road safety goals and tried to reduce injuries, and our country is still a blank in this area.

Second, automotive energy

The dependence on China's oil imports has reached 57.6%. The auto industry is also a major consumer of oil. The competent authorities should do comprehensive, in-depth and meticulous research to cope with the energy and environmental crisis.

The author believes that the current policy gives people the illusion that electric vehicles are the only new energy technology route for automobiles. This has certain risks. Any energy source, including renewable energy, can be converted into electricity. Under current technical conditions, charging is performed when the grid is low, and the efficiency of grid operation is improved. The braking energy can be recovered. Zero emissions during driving is an advantage of electric vehicles. However, the energy used by humans is not the energy in nature, but the secondary energy. In 2012, 78.6% of China's power generation was thermal power, and the main force of firepower was coal-fired power generation. According to BP statistics, in 2013, China's proven coal reserves ratio was 31, which was less than one-third of the world's 113, and the amount of coal mining was as high as 47.7% of the world's total output. The sustainability of coal power is not optimistic. Coal combustion is a serious source of pollution. Although power plants can collect and treat emissions, including CO2 collection and storage, one investment is high, while the second one is still immature, which is difficult to achieve in the short term. Under such circumstances, will there be pollution transfer due to a large increase in the use of fossil fuels due to vehicle electrical energy?

In the southwest and northwest regions of China, there are vast areas of barren hills, deserts, and deserts that are not suitable for cultivation or cultivation, and they are poor areas in China. The author proposes whether it can integrate functions such as water conservation, soil conservation, sand stabilization, ecology, and poverty alleviation, and establish fuel farms, forest farms, and distributed biofuel plants in these places to create local job opportunities and increase local income. In this way, the automobile industry will become the traction driving the coordinated development of the economy, society, and the people's livelihood, and will enable some deep social conflicts to be solved.

The development of new energy is not only a small account, but also a big account. The macro decision-making is to optimize the big account. Many people often exemplify how the United States develops electric vehicles. However, it is not necessarily known that the country’s biofuel production has already surpassed Brazil’s number one in the world. In 2013, it accounted for 43.5% of the world’s total. However, there is a large gap between China’s production. In deciding the direction of developing new energy sources for automobiles, we should promote local conditions and encourage multi-direction exploration. The decision on new energy must be combined with multi-disciplinary argumentation, and should not be preconceived to give up on any exploration of new energy that adapts to national conditions and conditions.

Third, independent research and development and independent brands

The author believes that the country should regard the development of independent brands as the highest principle for the development of the automotive industry. Due to the ambiguous attitude of the government departments, before the Fifth Plenary Session of the 16th Party Congress in October 2005, the people carried out a five-year dispute over whether the auto industry needed to carry out independent development. The best time. Although the Fifth Plenary Session of the 16th CPC Central Committee made a clear statement on independent development, the definition of self-owned brands has still not been publicized so far. Facts have proved that it is not enough to promote the auto industry to develop its own brands. It is not enough to rely on top-level design to set goals and implement responsibilities.

Fourth, automobile public management

Although China’s auto public management has achieved certain achievements, it has basically built and managed a management system of 200 million motor vehicles and an annual output of 20 million automobiles. However, due to mature public management and realistic demand, China’s automobile public management is still very large. The gap, and the effectiveness and efficiency are still relatively backward.

In terms of management ideas, it is often the case that other problems cannot be rectified when they are rectified, and there is a lack of guiding ideology that focuses on prevention and governance. The status of the laws and regulations governing the management of motor vehicles is not commensurate with the significance of the corresponding matters, and the enforcement of the rules is not sufficient. At the same time, the rules are divorced from reality, lack of predictability and systematization, and lack of operating rules. Multi-headed management has caused repeated duplication and gaps in management, which has increased social operating costs and left no responsibility. The credibility of the management department is declining, and there are no orders to make the managers at a loss, so as to form a situation where “bad coins drive out good money”. In addition, there are issues such as the unclear borders of public administration, the use of prohibited management, and the lack of necessary services. These hard-boiled reforms must be driven and resolved by relying on top-level design.


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Author:

Mr. Liu Keda

Eメール:

syzdhx@163.com

Phone/WhatsApp:

+8613904003748

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